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Nicolas Bal

PhD Project:

Model Assisted Fire Risk Assessment

One of the essential points for a fire risk assessment is the available statistical data (e.g.: conditional probabilities for fault and event tree analysis, frequency of ignition, …).

The classification thanks to the characteristics of the building and its occupancy (nature and magnitude of the events) is not general enough. As a consequence, the statistical analyses are not robust.

The purpose of this project is to establish, from data collected on fires, physical parameters which permit to obtain a more general classification, then to carry out statistical analyses and therefore to have a proper use of this data for probabilistic assessment of fire risk.

This project will especially be focused on the aspect of ignition of solid fuel and the physical parameters that could be linked to this phenomenon.

Project funded by BRE Trust

Previous projects

Selected publications

See also our page on the Edinburgh Research Archive.


BRE Centre for Fire Safety Engineering
The School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh
The King's Buildings, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh, EH9 3JL
Fax: 0131 650 6554